vendredi, juillet 08, 2005

Les marchés, les économistes et le terrorisme

Les économistes sont des gens merveilleux. Quelques dizaines de minutes seulement après que ma fille qui vit à Londres m’ait annoncé les attentats, je recevais un mail d’une organisation, le (Roubini Global Economics services) me proposant des articles sur l’impact du terrorisme sur l’économie. On y trouve plusieurs papier dont il faut retenir que les marchés ont appris à tenir le choc et que la bourse ne devrait pas trop souffrir des bombes dans le métro londonien, ce qui est, somme toute, plutôt une bonne nouvelle pour beaucoup de gens même si cela laisse rêveur. On nous a toujours expliqué que les investisseurs se méfiaient comme de la peste de l’incertitude or quoi de plus imprévisible que des attentats ? Peut-être l’envisagent-ils tout simplement comme une catastrophe naturelle, typhon, tsunami ou tremblement de terre que l’on ne craint pas parce qu’on ne peut pas les prévoir. Peut-être faudrait-il ressortir la distinction de Knight entre le risque et l’incertitude ou celle de Keynes entre le risque que l’on peut calculer et celui qui échappe à tout calcul (que Daavidson appelle non-ergodique) : les financiers ne s’inquiétant, comme chacun de nous, que des risques que l’on peut anticiper et négligeant ceux que l’on ne peut calculer, ils continueraient de vaquer à leurs petites affaires au milieu des attentats suicides et des massacres dans les transports en commun…

3 commentaires:

Anonyme a dit…

Dans la situation actuelle, peut-on vraiment dire que les attentats sont imprévisibles ? Ce qui est imprévisible c'est le lieu et l'heure, c'est tout, non ?

Anonyme a dit…

Brit HUME (FOXNews):

I mean, my first thought when I heard -- just on a personal basis, when I heard there had been this attack and I saw the futures this morning, which were really in the tank, I thought, "Hmmm, time to buy."

xcfb08ctrt a dit…

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Faceprint Global Solutions (FCPG)
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Faceprint Global Solutions (FCPG) is pleased to announce that its European partner, Keyvelop, has teamed up with IBM's Partner World Industry Networks to deliver customer software requirement solutions for the international healthcare industry.
With FGS owning the exclusive North American rights to distribute the worlds leading encryption and transmission software developed by Keyvelop, FGS is poised to capture large volumes of sales generated by customers currently using IBM's software in the healthcare and other industries.
With traceability and security now deemed a serious business priority, companies are increasingly focused on employing procedures and controls designed to ensure the authenticity, integrity and confidentiality of electronic records.
"This is a very positive move for FGS and for Keyvelop," said FGS CEO Pierre Cote. "We are very happy about the decision to go with IBM. This is a continuation of the progress made by everyone associated with FGS and its partners."
Buell Duncan, IBM's general manager of ISV & Developer Relations commented, "Collaborating with Keyvelop will ensure that we develop open solutions that are easy to maintain and cost effective for our customers in the healthcare and life sciences industry."
Among other things, this new software technology which is currently being used by a number of European healthcare companies, is used to send any file, regardless of format or size. Encryption keys, evidence of transmission integrity with fingerprint calculation, time-stamping of all actions and status record updating, pre-checking sender and receiver identities, validating file opening dates are part of Keyvelop features.
About FacePrint Global Solutions, Inc.
FGS operates a business, which develops and delivers a variety of technology solutions, including biometric software applications on smart cards and other support mediums (apometric solutions). FGS's products provide biometric solutions for identity authentication and a host of smart card- and biometrics-related hardware peripherals and software applications. Apometrix, FGS's wholly-owned subsidiary, combines on-card or in-chip multi-application management solutions with best-of-breed 'in-card matching' biometrics. Keyvelop's secure digital envelope solution and Apometrix's on-card biometrics work together to produce the winning combination in the fields of security, traceability and identity management. FGS is headquartered in Fresno, California.

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